Ad
The National Forest Service Logo
icon-add Observation
Forecasts
Logan Ogden Salt Lake Provo Uintas Skyline Moab Abajos Weather Archives How to read the forecast
Observations & Avalanches
Submit Observation Observations Explorer All Observations Avalanches Fatalities Weather Place Names Map Archives
Education
Avalanche Class List UAC Class List Online Classes Resources and Tutorials Avalanche Awareness Develop Skills
Events
Store
About
Contact Who we are Core Values Staff Board of Directors Past Forecasters Sponsors Annual Reports Sign In
Blog
icon-add Observation
Donate / Join

Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Tuesday morning, January 26, 2021
Most terrain has a MODERATE avalanche danger today. Upper elevation terrain where the wind has been drifting snow has a CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger. The danger is most pronounced on the east side of the Skyline Drive in areas that received the most new snow like Ferron Canyon.
USE CAUTION! Things are tricky right now because we have lots of weak snow around but we're only adding small amounts of new snow on top of it making it difficult to know when it will become really dangerous.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: The Skyline received a decent shot of snow overnight with averages in the 3 to 5 inch range. Due to the southeast flow, the east side of the range received the most snow. Ferron Canyon was the big winner with 10" of new snow. Overnight temperatures were in the single digits to low teens. The southeast wind had some stronger gusts early on and stayed in the moderate speed range over in the early morning.
Mountain Weather:
We'll see clouds and light snowfall without much accumulation this morning. Temperatures aren't going to warm much. Highs will be in the mid teens. The wind will shift around to the southwest and will be moderate in speed today. Weather remains unsettled through the end of the week with chances for snow. We should see a few inches again on Wednesday.
Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Here's what I know. There is plenty of very weak pre-existing snow in our pack. We are slowly starting to add new snow layers on top of the weak snow.
Here's what I don't know. When will it get really dangerous. With only small amounts of new snow at a time, it is difficult to say when the old weak snow has had enough and can't take any more.
The strategy is to be on high alert after each snow storm. Look for clues like recent avalanches, "whoomping" of the snowpack and shooting cracks. Once we reach the tipping point, it should be fairly obvious. Until then, things will remain tricky.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
CAMERAS & WEATHER STATIONS
INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
FACEBOOK: SKYLINE AVALANCHE
FORECAST EMAIL
PREVIOUS FORECASTS
< Previous forecast
Next forecast >