Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Friday morning, April 4, 2025
The overall avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline is MODERATE today.
The new snow is mostly stable. Watch for it to become damp if the sun pops out at any time. If that happens, you might be able to initiate wet loose avalanches on the steepest slopes.
There is still a very minor chance of triggering a deep avalanche. For this to happen, you'll need to be in some of the steepest high elevation terrain that faces north, northeast or east.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: There was light snowfall for most of the day on Thursday which didn't add up to much accumulation. Temperatures stayed in the mid 20s. Despite cool temperatures, I noticed that the new snow did become thicker and slightly damp at the end of the day. You just can't escape solar radiation at this time of the season. Riding conditions remained pretty good. The wind has been amazingly calm.
Mountain Weather: We'll see mostly cloudy skies today with one more period of light snowfall possible this afternoon. Accumulations won't add up to much. Perhaps a trace to a couple of inches. Temperatures will get into the upper 20s today. Wind will stay generally light from the north. Things clear out more for the weekend with a gradual warming trend into next week. A ridge of high pressure builds in by mid week bringing very warm temperatures.
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Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The new snow appears to be mostly stable. I did not see any avalanches or other red flags like cracking on Thursday. Stability tests were not producing any clean shears and looked good. There was very little wind transported snow and I did not notice any significant fresh drifts or slabs.
I think the main thing to keep an eye on is what the new snow does if it starts getting wet. You may be able to initiate wet loose avalanches on very steep slopes if the new snow warms and gets wet.
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The old weak layers buried deep in the snowpack are still worth a mention. I believe we may have finally turned the corner where these layers aren't posing a huge threat anymore. Last week's very warm temperatures melted and settled the snowpack quite a bit. It is frozen up hard under the new snow. This has made it so that it is fairly unlikely that a person can affect those deep weak layers at this time. That said, I'm still uneasy about them and you won't find me in really steep terrain like what I would normally be riding at this time of the season in most years.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.