Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, January 16, 2020
Outside of wind affected terrain, the avalanche danger is generally LOW. There is a MODERATE danger on the upper elevation more east facing slopes where recent drifts and wind slabs have formed. Continue to use caution on these big slopes even though it seems that the fresh drifts are stabilizing.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: The recent wind sure did wreak havoc on a lot of our snow in the higher terrain. Many people noted that large fresh drifts have formed. However, it appears that not all that many released naturally during the wind event. There have not been any significant observations of cracking within these recently formed drifts either. This would indicate that these drifts are already stabilizing. I would still use caution in very steep terrain where fresh drifts and wind slabs are present.
Mountain Weather: It looks like we'll see partly cloudy skies today with high temperatures around 30˚F. Southerly winds are again expected to increase and could get fairly strong along the ridges. The next quick hitting storm will move through early Friday and into mid day. It looks like a decent little punch although the duration is fairly short so I'm only expecting around 6 inches of new snow. The weather clears up for the weekend.
Recent Avalanches
This is about the extent of the recent activity. This is a small drift that naturally released in the mid part of Fairview Canyon on a west northwest facing slope visible from the road. There were a few more small slabs that were reported to have released during the wind event. This activity is less than I expected which is good news.
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Additional Information
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.