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Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed on
Wednesday morning, November 27, 2024
The danger is MODERATE, and people could trigger soft slab avalanches of new snow or stiffer slabs of wind-drifted snow, breaking around 1 foot thick, on upper and mid-elevation northerly slopes steeper than 30°. There is still not enough snow for avalanches on most slopes at lower elevations.
Evaluate snow and terrain carefully, especially in drifted upper-elevation terrain.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
SAVE THE DATES!
Tuesday, December 3 - 21st Annual Pray for Snow fundraiser/party, Cache, Logan Information and tickets available here.
Wednesday, December 4 - USU KBYG (Know Before You Go) Night, USU ARC
Saturday, December 7 - 17th Annual Utah Snow and Avalanche Workshop (USAW) - Information and tickets available here.
Weather and Snow
Weak, sugary, or faceted snow from early November is widespread in upper-elevation terrain. Today, people could trigger avalanches in the backcountry. Yesterday's snowfall probably overloaded some slopes with poor snow structure, causing elevated avalanche danger on upper-elevation slopes steeper than 30°. In exposed terrain, drifting built stiffer wind slabs on the underlying weak snow, and wind slab avalanches are possible. Although there may not be enough snow on many slopes to bury you, a ride over rocks in even a small avalanche could be quite dangerous.
  • The 8500' Tony Grove Snotel reports 21°F and 8 inches of new snow from yesterday's storm, with 24 inches of total snow on the ground. It's 17°F at the 8800' UAC Card Canyon weather station, with 4 inches of new snow and 25" of total snow.
  • Currently at 9700' at the CSI Logan Peak weather station, it's 14°F and the wind is blowing from the northwest 17 mph, with overnight gusts generally less than 30 mph. At 9500' on UAC Paris Peak it's 12°F, and winds are from the north 5 mph.
  • Today, snow will taper off early this morning and the sun will come out. 8500' high temperatures will be around 21°F and winds will blow from the northwest around 7 mph.
    Tonight, temperatures will drop to around 13°F, and winds from the west-northwest will blow 5 mph.
    Thanksgiving Day, it will be sunny. Expect high temperatures around 19°F and light winds from the west 5 mph.
  • A high-pressure system will gradually build over the area, and we can expect stable atmospheric conditions, fair weather in the mountains and haze in the valleys for at least the nest week.
For more information, visit the UAC weather page here: Weather - Utah Avalanche Center
For Logan-specific weather go here: Logan Mountain Weather - Utah Avalanche Center
Recent Avalanches
On Sunday, observers reported triggering a few audible collapses or "whumpfs" in north-facing terrain at around 8700' in elevation. These triggered collapses are a red flag indicating unstable snow.
No significant avalanches have been reported yet in the Logan Zone.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Heavy snowfall and drifting overloaded slopes plagued by very weak, sugary, or faceted snow, elevating the avalanche danger.
  • Avalanches of wind-drifted snow are possible in drifted terrain where wind slabs have formed on slopes with poor snow structure. These could be around 1' thick and perhaps 30 to 60 feet wide.
  • Soft slab avalanches, primarily containing storm snow, are also possible. Some avalanches could step down into faceted snow from early November.
Additional Information
I revisited the November 25, 1989 Mark Miller Accident in the PowerPoint presentation above.


The video is from last year, but the message is still good for the early season. Take the time now to check your companion rescue equipment and refresh your skills with backcountry partners...
General Announcements
-National Forest Winter Recreation Travel Maps show where it's open to ride: UWCNF Logan, Ogden LRD Tony Grove, Franklin Basin CTNF Montpelier
-Sign up for forecast region-specific text message alerts. You will receive messages about changing avalanche conditions, watches, and warnings...HERE.
-For all questions on forecasts, education, Know Before You Go, events, online purchases, or fundraising, call 801-365-5522.
-To report an avalanche or submit an observation from the backcountry, go HERE.
-Please continue to submit your observations from the backcountry so we can publish them and keep people informed of what you're seeing out there.

This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions, and local variations always occur.