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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Monday morning, December 2, 2024
The overall avalanche danger is currently MODERATE.
The danger is slowly decreasing but human triggered avalanches remain possible.
Buried faceted (sugary) snow, like we have now, is the most dangerous and unpredictable situation we deal with.
Avoiding steep slopes is the only sure way to stay out of an avalanche.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Riding conditions still remain good on mid and upper elevation northerly facing slopes. You'll find that sunny slopes will have a crust this morning from becoming wet over the last few days.
Mountain Weather: We'll see some high clouds today with temperatures generally in the mid 30s but maxing out into the 40s mid day. Wind will be light from the southeast. Benign weather stays in our area for the rest of the week.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Weak snow near at the base of the snowpack was overloaded by two feet of dense snow that fell just before Thanksgiving. This caused natural avalanches as well as some snowmobile triggered slides.
As time passes, the chances for triggering an avalanche are decreasing. But the weak snow remains in place.
At this point, not all steep slopes will avalanche. Some will stay in place. Some may not. It's difficult to determine which slopes will slide and which won't. You may not see obvious signs of danger like recent avalanches or collapsing (whumpfing) of the snow underneath you. The biggest clue is sinking right to the ground when you step off your snowmobile, skis or snowboard.
Personally, I don't get onto steep slopes when I know there is buried weak sugary snow at the base.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.