Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Sunday morning, February 9, 2020
The avalanche danger remains MODERATE today in areas with recent deposits of wind drifted snow. Human triggered avalanches are again possible. The most likely places to trigger something are along the upper elevation ridges on the east half of the compass. If you avoid the recently formed fresh drifts and cornices, you'll stay out of avalanche danger.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Skies have clouded up and temperatures have dropped from highs in the mid 30s on Saturday to overnight lows in the mid teens. The wind continued to blow from the west on Saturday drifting snow along the higher terrain. It has slowed down now. Riding conditions remain excellent outside of the wind affected zones.
Mountain Weather: A weak storm will impact our area today perhaps bringing a trace to a couple of inches of new snow to the Skyline. We'll see highs in the upper teens and wind will be light and variable in direction. The next significant storms will move through toward the end of the week.
Recent Avalanches
There were three notable avalanches that released on Saturday. Two of them were snowmobile triggered. One of them caught two snowmobilers.
The first one was at The Big Drift where a snowmobiler climbed a steep northeast facing wind loaded slope and triggered it. There were a number of people in the area but no one was caught.
The second one was on a short but steep rollover just off the east side of the North Skyline Drive in Cabin Hollow. It was also recently wind loaded. The two snowmobilers that triggered it were caught but stayed on top of the debris and were uninjured.
The third was a very large slide off Wedding Ring Ridge. This is perhaps the largest avalanche of the 2019-20 winter season so far. It was powerful enough to take down a pine tree. It most likely released naturally during the day as the wind continued to load the east facing slope. There were snowmobile tracks that the debris overran indicating that people were below the slope before it avalanched. It's possible that it was snowmobile triggered but my money is on the wind loading.
Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The recent avalanches on Saturday obviously indicate that the fresh drifts that formed since Thursday have not yet stabilized. They will be more stubborn today but there is still a chance that a person could trigger a fairly deep avalanche.
Additional Information
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.