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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Sunday morning, February 23, 2020
CONDITIONS HAVE CHANGED!! With over a foot of new snow overnight, it's likely that people can trigger avalanches today. The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE today. Areas that received the most snow which are on the east side of the range are the most dangerous.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: The storm overnight produced over a foot of snow along the Skyline. The greatest amounts are on the east side of the range due to the southeast and northeast flow of the storm. Wind is slowing down. Temperatures were in the upper 20s for much of the night and have cooled slightly this morning. I'm guessing the new snow will be fairly dense due to warm temperatures during the storm. It's still snowing as of 7am.
Mountain Weather: The storm will exit our area this morning and we should see some sun perhaps by this afternoon. Temperatures will creep back up near 30˚F today. Wind will shift around to the northwest eventually and will increase in speed later this afternoon.
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Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
We just rapidly loaded the snowpack with over a foot of snow in some areas. Rapid changes to the snowpack often increase the avalanche danger. There was some weak snow around on the surface prior to this storm. I'm not sure if it is enough to produce avalanches today but you better be on guard. The most likely places to find avalanches are going to be on the east side of the Skyline that received the most snow. Areas that received less than about 8 inches of snow will be safer. Look for fresh avalanches and pay attention to any cracking within the new snow. These are "bullseye" clues to danger. Use small steep test slopes to see if the new snow is unstable.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
CAMERAS & WEATHER STATIONS
INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
FACEBOOK: SKYLINE AVALANCHE
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This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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