Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Saturday morning, February 22, 2020
The avalanche danger will be generally LOW today. Continue to use caution especially if you are traveling on steep slopes along the higher ridges. Avoid the most obvious wind drifts and cornices.
Anticipate the avalanche danger to increase somewhat by Sunday as the next storm affects our area.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Wind during the mid part of the week has taken it's toll on riding conditions in many areas but there are lots of areas where the riding remains excellent. Wind is fairly light out of the southwest this morning and overnight temperatures were mild in the mid 20s. The video below is a 60 second week in review of snow and avalanche conditions.
Mountain Weather: We'll see increasing clouds today and mild temperatures with light to moderate speed southwest wind. The next storm is an interesting one. Basically, it will move in late today and snow overnight. Weather models suggest 4 to 8 inches of new snow. Temperatures will be in the low 20s during the storm. Overall, my confidence is low in forecasting this storm. The problem that I see is that the flow is going to be out of the southeast and northeast for a good portion of the night. This is going to effect orographic lift or "upslope snowfall". Areas on the east side of the Skyline may fair better with snow totals compared to areas on the west side which usually do better. The storm moves out mid day Sunday.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
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Description
The avalanche danger remains generally LOW. Continue to use normal caution as you travel through the mountains today. Do not act as if avalanche conditions are 100% safe because they rarely are. Very steep slopes along the higher ridgelines especially on the east half of the compass would be areas where a person could trigger a small avalanche today.
Additional Information
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.