Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Friday morning, December 9, 2022
The avalanche danger rating is CONSIDERABLE today. Human triggered avalanches remain likely on many aspects.
Continue to avoid being on slopes steeper than 30˚.
These avalanches can be triggered from a distance so make sure there are no steep slopes above you.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
Avalanche Awareness Week continues!
Stop by Big Pine Sports in Fairview or Snow Big Deal in Mt Pleasant to get free batteries for your avalanche beacons and get registered for a drawing for free avalanche gear.
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Total snow depths are averaging right around three feet in the higher terrain. Riding conditions are excellent with fresh powder on the surface. You'll find a few melt-freeze crusts that formed yesterday from the direct sun on the more southerly facing slopes. Temperatures have been in the upper teens and the wind speed has been light from the southwest.
Mountain Weather: We have a few clouds moving through this morning but should see the sun poke out in the mountains this afternoon. You might notice a slight bump in wind speeds today but overall they'll be light to moderate from the west southwest. Saturday and Sunday look partly cloudy with warmer temperatures. A large low pressure system is going to move through starting late Sunday lasting through Monday night. While this is a large storm system, I don't think we are going to see huge snow amounts. We'll see two periods of snow, one Sunday night and another late Monday night. Currently I'm thinking 4 to 8 inches total seems reasonable by Tuesday morning. The pattern still looks active with more storms lined up over the next few weeks.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
I continue to experience lots of collapsing (whoomping sounds) while traveling around on skis. This is a Persistent Weak Layer of sugary faceted snow that is buried and is failing when disturbed by my weight. I have been on low angle slopes when this occurs but if I were on steeper slopes, they would avalanche. This scenario is going to continue to be a problem for us over the next few weeks as more storms roll through.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.