Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Saturday morning, December 10, 2022
The avalanche danger rating remains CONSIDERABLE today. Human triggered avalanches remain likely on many aspects.
The best way to stay safe right now is to simply avoid being on or below slopes that are steeper than about 30˚.
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Moderate
Considerable
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Special Announcements
Avalanche Awareness Week continues!
Stop by Big Pine Sports in Fairview to get free batteries for your avalanche beacons and get registered for a drawing for free avalanche gear.
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Riding conditions remain quite good in many locations. You'll find that the wind has done some damage to the surface powder in exposed places. Temperatures got into the 20s on Friday and dipped back into the teens overnight. There was a period of moderate speed southwest wind Friday and it slowed again overnight.
Mountain Weather: We'll have increasing high clouds today with temperatures into the mid 20s. I'm expecting the southwest wind to increase a bit today. It looks like it may get fairly strong tonight. Sunday looks mostly cloudy with highs in the mid 20s and moderate to strong southwest wind. The next storm moves in Sunday night through Monday. This is not going to be a huge snow producer for the Skyline. We'll see a few inches accumulation early Monday morning in a southwest flow. It'll be showery at best during the day Monday with a better chance for some more accumulations Monday night as the flow shifts northwest. I'm anticipating 4 to 8 inches of total snow from this storm.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
A Persistent Weak Layer of loose sugary faceted snow formed in November and is now buried and causing avalanche problems. Both natural and human triggered avalanches have broken into this weak layer. It remains buried in our snowpack and remains loose, sugary and weak. It's going to take some time and a bunch more snow before it stabilizes. Before then, anticipate continued elevated avalanche danger especially during and directly after any new storms.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.