Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Sunday morning, October 24, 2021
Special Announcements
We are preparing for the 2021-2022 winter avalanche forecasting season and will start publishing snow, weather and avalanche information on an intermittent basis until there is enough snow to warrant daily avalanche forecasts. Information will generally be updated prior and during significant winter storms over the next month.
Weather and Snow
Two significant snow storms occurred earlier in October and left about a foot of snow in the higher terrain. It is possible that this early season snow will deteriorate and form a layer of sugary facets that could become dangerous once more snow is added on top of it. However, it is still too early to know if this early season snow will become dangerous. It is possible that future weather patterns may make our snowpack stack up in a stable manner without any weak layers within it. Time will tell. What we want to see at this point is consistent storms moving through every few days or at least once a week.
We have a decent looking quick hitting storm which will start sometime late Monday night and last through Tuesday. This storm could produce 6 to 12 inches of new snow in the high country. This is great for winter enthusiasts. The problem is that the forecast looks dry after this storm with no other storms on the horizon through November 10th. This forecasted dry period is just what we don't want to see. Long periods of "high pressure" with no storms are the exact type of weather that will turn the existing snow into weak sugary faceted grains. Again, ultimately, time will tell how this all shakes out. The only thing we can do is watch the snowpack keeping track of any weakness that may form or not.
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General Announcements
We have our annual Snow and Avalanche Workshop coming up on November 9th, 10th and 11th. This is a great chance to hear numerous interesting topics about snow, weather and avalanches. Great way to dust off the cobwebs and start thinking about snow!
DAY 1, Nov 9, 6-9pm DETAILS HERE
DAY 2, Nov 10, 6-9pm DETAILS HERE
DAY 3, Nov 11, 6-9pm DETAILS HERE