The snowpack has become very weak during this long stretch with no new snow. In many areas, the snowpack consists entirely of faceted, sugary snow. It is unsupportable and punchy. You punch right through to the ground with your boots in most locations. Even southerly facing slopes contain weak sugary snow. All the snow that's currently on the ground will act as a Persistent Weak Layer once we bury it with more layers of snow. Tonight's storm probably won't be enough to make things really dangerous. My thinking is that it will take a couple of new layers before we see things get really active. BOTTOM LINE: it is almost certain that the avalanche conditions will get dangerous as we add more snow.