Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Friday morning, January 21, 2022
The avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline remains generally LOW. The small amount of new snow won't influence the avalanche danger.
Human triggered avalanches are unlikely today and will remain unlikely through the weekend.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
FREE AVALANCHE BEACON AND GEAR TRAINING
Saturday, January 29th: 9am to 12pm
North Skyline Drive parking lot at the top of Fairview Canyon.
Show up anytime between 9am and noon and we will teach you how to effectively use your avalanche beacon. We will also show you probing and digging techniques.
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
A trace to 2 inches of snow fell on the Skyline overnight. Southwest wind picked up slightly before the snowfall and has died down again. Temperatures in the high country are around 20˚F this morning.
Mountain Weather
The snow storm is basically over and we'll see lingering clouds today. High temperatures will be in the low 20s. Northerly wind should stay fairly light during the day. It should shift slightly northeast later on. The weekend looks clear with temperatures in the mid 20s. I don't see any significant storms on the horizon.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The small amount of snow we received won't change the avalanche conditions. Overall, the snowpack remains mostly stable in the majority of the terrain.
Details: The old weak sugary snow from October has gained strength and has a very stout, strong and supportable slab over the top of it. The old snow is in a state that we call "dormant". You can still find it if you hunt around. But, it would probably take a VERY large snow event for it to become active again. Our focus shifts to the snow surface during this extended period of high pressure. The longer we go with no snow, the looser and more sugary the snow surface will become. It is possible that once the loose snow that is forming on the surface becomes buried by future storms, it could act as a weak layer. This is speculative right now as many factors influence this process. It is just something to monitor at this point.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.