Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, January 20, 2022
Avalanche and weather conditions remain mild with now significant recent changes.
There is an overall LOW avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline.
Even though avalanches are unlikely, continue to follow safe protocol:
  • Make sure everyone in your group has a beacon, shovel and probe and the beacon is turned on.
  • Only put one person at a time on steep slopes.
  • Clear the runnout zone (don't regroup and hang out underneath steep slopes).
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
I was on a higher elevation ridge on Thursday when the wind speeds peaked for the last 24 hours. The wind was steady with moderate speeds. It was very tolerable and wasn't noticeably drifting snow. A few flakes fell during the day not adding up to anything. Areas of soft snow are still out there mostly found on the north half of the compass. Overnight low temperatures were in the teens.
Mountain Weather
Today looks like a fairly decent day with clear skies, high temperatures getting into the mid 20s and light west wind to start. Wind will probably increase as well as cloud cover later today. This is ahead of a weak storm that will move through Friday and bring a trace to a couple of inches of snow. Nothing exciting. The weekend looks pretty nice with clear weather.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The snowpack remains mostly stable at this time. It is very supportable and travel is easy. A person could stumble around blindly and have little chance of triggering an avalanche. If you dig down on northerly facing slopes you can find old snow from October. This snow has gained strength in most areas I dig now. Occasionally I'll find a location with weak snow. However, the overlying snowpack is so stout and strong that it is unlikely that a person can affect the weak layer at this time.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.