Join us at our 2nd Annual Blizzard Ball

Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Trent Meisenheimer
Issued by Trent Meisenheimer on
Wednesday morning, December 23, 2020
A CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger exists on many slopes at the mid and upper elevations. Human triggered avalanches 1-2' deep remain likely...and may still be triggered from a distance. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding, and conservative decision-making will be essential today.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
Thanks to the generous support of our local resorts, Ski Utah, and Backcountry, discount lift tickets are now available.
Support the UAC while you ski at the resorts this season. Tickets are available here.
Weather and Snow
Yesterday's cold front dropped a trace to 3" of new snow containing 0.07 - 0.20" of water. Northerly winds blew hard for most of the day from the west-northwest at speeds of 25-35 mph with gusts into the 60's and 70's.
Currently, in the wake of a strong cold front, the northerly wind continues to blow at speeds of 15-25 mph, gusting into the 40's at the highest elevations. Mid elevation winds are more reasonable with speeds in the 10-15 mph range. Mountain temperatures are in single digits, with a wind chill below zero °F. Winds are supposed to calm down later this morning.
Recent Avalanches
No new avalanches were reported from the Provo mountains; you can find all observations HERE.
Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Each storm continues to add weight to our fragile snowpack. This weight can be added from snow falling from the sky or the wind blowing the snow from one location to another. In any case, it just doesn't take much to stress the weak, faceted, old snow below.
It's a simple set up - we have a weak layer and a slab. There are two other critical components to triggering an avalanche; we need a slope steep enough to slide (generally greater than 30° in steepness). We need a trigger (skiers and riders make good triggers). These four components of a slab avalanche are good to know because if we remove any one of the components we don't get an avalanche. Unfortunately, we can't remove the slab and weak layer.
However, I can choose to ride slopes less than 30° in steepness with nothing steep above or adjacent to me and not trigger avalanches. For now, that's the only option we have, especially if we want to avoid being caught in an avalanche. Persistent Weak Layer avalanches are responsible for nearly 70% of all avalanche fatalities here in Utah.
Video: Field day in American Fork
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
West and northwest winds have been blowing 20-30 mph for nearly the past 24 hrs and I would expect a fresh batch of drifts scattered throughout the range. Some slopes will have hard drifts, and others will be soft. As always, look for and avoid any fresh deposits of wind-blown snow. Cracking and collapsing within the new snow is a sign of instability.
Adding wind drifted snow to any slope with weak faceted snow beneath will only make the avalanche deeper, wider, and more dangerous.
General Announcements
Please visit this website with information about Responsible Winter Recreation by the Utah Office of Outdoor Recreation.

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.