Forecast: Provo Area Mountains - Utah Avalanche Center

Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Issued by Nikki Champion on
Tuesday morning, January 26, 2021

The avalanche danger is HIGH on all steep upper elevation slopes facing west, through north, through east where human-triggered slab avalanches are very likely. The remaining upper elevation aspects have a CONSIDERABLE danger. The avalanche danger is also CONSIDERABLE on mid-elevation steep slopes facing west, through north, through east. We have very dangerous avalanche conditions. Slab avalanches 1-3 feet deep hundreds of feet wide are likely. These are unsurvivable avalanche conditions.

All other aspects have a MODERATE avalanche danger.

Natural and human triggered avalanches are likely. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. This includes snowshoeing trails or steep terrain even near parking lots.

Low

Moderate

Considerable

High

Extreme

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Special Announcements

SPECIAL NOTE: HALF OF ALL SKIER/SNOWBOARDER FATALITIES SINCE 99/00 HAVE OCCURRED WITH PEOPLE GOING OUT OF BOUNDS AT A SKI AREA.

Weather and Snow

This morning, skies are overcast and it is lightly snowing. Southeasterly winds have begun to pick up overnight averaging 10-20 mph and gusting up to 20 mph at mid-elevations and 30mph at upper elevatios. Mountain temperatures are in the mid-teens F.

Today, skies will be mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers and minimal accumulation, less than 2 inches. Winds will ramp up throughout the day and into the afternoon while becoming Southwesterly. Winds will average 10-15 mph, with gusts up to 30 mph at the highest ridgelines. Temperatures will rise into the mid 20s F.

The Outlook:

A southwest flow is setting up well to the west of us will pummel us by strong southwest winds over the next few days. It eventually ejects inland and moves overhead Friday into the weekend.

Recent Avalanches

No new avalanches were reported in the Provo area backcountry yesterday.

A few new avalanches were reported in the Salt Lake area backcountry yesterday, while most of these fail within the new snow or at the new snow old snow interface, the observation below failed within the old snow.

Murdock Peak - 9,100' - NW Aspect - multiple remotely triggered avalanches on the Millcreek/Lambs Ridgeline - All were triggered from 50'-250' away, were 2-3' deep, and ranged from 60'-120' wide - failed on the old facets above a crust in the old snow.

Photo from the Murdock Peak avalanches remotely triggered from the ridgeline. (Photo: Grainger/Young)

Video of Robby Young talking about one of the avalanches they saw on Murdock Peak. (Photo: Grainger/Young)

As always, you can find all observations and recent avalanches HERE.

Type

Location

Likelihood

Size

Description

The Murdock Peak avalanches which broke into the old weak snow near or at the ground prove that the significant snowfall over the past few days has overloaded our pre-existing weak faceted snowpack. You can expect avalanches to be 2-4' deep, and if caught, probably unsurvivable. If you choose to ride on slopes steeper than 30° where this weak snow exists, you will likely trigger an avalanche.

Dangerous avalanche conditions exist, patience and avoidance will be the name of the game today. Continue to stick to low angle terrain with nothing steep above or connected to it.

Type

Location

Likelihood

Size

Description

Last night the East and Southeasterly winds began to pick up, up to 50mph at Ogden Peak. With so much snow to move around, any bump in winds will begin drifting snow. Today, I would expect to find sensitive slabs of wind drifted snow forming on all mid and upper elevation aspects. These wind drifts will be particularly touchy at upper elevation aspects facing west through north through east due to the direction of the wind, and where the wind drifted snow will be sitting on top of the weak faceted snow.

Today look for slopes with any signs of wind drifted snow, such as cracking, hollow noises, and pillow-shaped snow, and avoiding those slopes.

In areas protected from the wind, new snow avalanches may still be triggered on all aspects and elevations. If triggered these avalanches may be up to 1-2' deep today. These avalanches may be particularly sensitive on steep west to north to east-facing slopes at all elevation bands and may be triggered remotely or from a distance.

Any wind drifted snow or new snow avalanche triggered can step down into deeper weaker layers creating a much larger avalanche 2-4' deep.

General Announcements

Please visit this website with information about Responsible Winter Recreation by the Utah Office of Outdoor Recreation.

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures