Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Monday morning, March 30, 2020
Recent snow and southerly winds have formed fresh drifts on upper elevation, northerly aspects and the avalanche danger is MODERATE on steep, wind drifted slopes. Wind drifts are recognizable by their smooth rounded appearance, and cracking is a sign of instability. On these same slopes an isolated possibility exists for an avalanche to fail on a buried persistent weak layer of loose, sugary, faceted snow. And finally, when the sun makes its appearance today, the danger will rise for loose, wet avalanches on sun-exposed slopes. Look for signs of instability such as pinwheels and point release sluffs, and get off of and out from under steep slopes that become wet and sloppy.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
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The UAC encourages everyone to follow direction from federal, state, city and county officicals. The following is from Joe Dougherty, spokesman for the Utah Division of Emergency Management:
Though outdoor recreation is still permitted under the governor’s Stay Safe/Stay Home directive, we recommend that people maintain a distance of at least 6 feet.
Be extra cautious to avoid injuries outdoors. We are working with our hospital systems to conserve as much personal protective equipment as possible in case of hospitalizations.
Most outdoor injuries can be prevented. Know the conditions and know your limits so you don’t end up in a hospital.
Weather and Snow
Weather: New reports have come in of up to 10" of fresh, low=density snow in the high country from Friday's storm, and what looks like maybe a couple more last night. Today we'll see clouds with a chance of lingering showers this morning with clearing skies later in the day. NW winds will be mostly light and high temps will be in the low 30's. Tues and Wed look dry and mostly sunny. Wednesday will see an uptick in southerly winds ahead of the next Pacific trough that will move into the region. Most of the energy looks like it will be to the north. Long-range models show continued unsettled weather.
Snowpack: Friday's storm has once again freshened up conditions but southerly winds yesterday blew and drifted the most recent snow. Fresh wind drifts will be found on leeward slopes, primarily at upper elevations. Deeper in the snowpack, a layer of weak, sugary, faceted snow exists. In isolated areas, a triggered wind drift could step down to this buried weak layer causing a deeper and more dangerous avalanche.
Kevin Dressel photo.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Additional Information
New to the backcountry (including riding at closed resorts) - Watch the award-winning, 15 minute Know Before You Go video, or take the 5-part, free online-learning series.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.