Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Friday morning, March 19, 2021
The avalanche danger is MODERATE on steep, wind-drifted slopes at mid and upper elevations on slopes facing NW-N-E-SE. Avoid steep slopes where you can detect recent deposits of wind drifted snow. In these same areas, last weekend's snow may have added enough of a load for avalanches to fail down to a buried persistent weak layer causing a deeper and more dangerous avalanche.
As things heat up today anticipate a MODERATE danger for loose, wet avalanches on sun-exposed slopes. Signs of instability include rollerballs, pinwheels and sloppy wet snow up around your boot tops. Get off of and out from under steep slopes when these signs are present.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
Weather and Snow
Another warm and sunny day is on tap. SW winds will be light and high temps at 10,000' will climb into the 40's. Clouds will increase tonight ahead of a Pacific trough that will bring unsettled weather for the weekend. Points north are favored and we aren't likely to see any precipitation but at least we'll get wind. The pattern for next week is not clearly defined but looks to be unsettled at the least.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Snowpack Discussion
Snow totals over the weekend varied across the range with what appears to be 5"-10" with about 1.4" of snow-water-equivalent. Strong NW winds on Sunday have blown and drifted the new snow, especially in exposed terrain at upper elevations and steep, wind drifted slopes should be avoided. Look for wind drifts on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features such as gully walls and sub ridges. Drifts are recognizable by their smooth, rounded appearance and cracking is a sign of instability. On steep, wind-loaded, northerly aspects, it may still be possible to trigger a deeper avalanche failing on a buried persistent weak layer of sugary, faceted snow.
Additional Information
Information on outdoor recreation - The State of Utah created this webpage with information about recreating on both state and federal public lands during the current health crisis.

New to the backcountry (including riding at closed resorts) - Watch the award-winning, 15 minute Know Before You Go video, or take the 5-part, free online-learning series.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.