Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Friday morning, March 13, 2020
New snow and wind will create a rising hazard and the avalanche danger will likely reach CONSIDERABLE today. Human triggered avalanches involving new and wind drifted snow will become increasingly more likely as the day progresses. Be on the lookout for fresh wind drifts to form on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features on slopes facing the north half of the compass. If we reach accumulations of more than about 6" human triggered avalanches involving the new snow will be possible on steep slopes on all aspects. On isolated, steep, northerly facing slopes below treeline, the new snow load may begin to affect weak, sugary facets deeper in the snowpack. Be alert to changing conditions and scale back your objectives today until we see what happens.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
Weather and Snow
Subtropical moisture has moved into the area ahead of a closed mid-level low that will track northeastward through Arizona today. Heavy snowfall rates of 1"-2" an hour will accompany the initial surge and it looks like we could see 5"-8" of snow today. Snowfall should taper off by afternoon with light showers continuing through tonight. Ridgetop SE winds will blow in the 20-25 mph range with 10,000' temps rising into the low 30's. Tomorrow will be cloudy with a chance for continued showers. Things should clear out on Sunday though we remain under SW flow through next week with another low moving down the west coast. In what looks to be a repeat pattern, this system will move inland sometime next Wed-Thu.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.