Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Sunday morning, January 24, 2021
New and wind drifted snow has added stress to underlying persistent weak layers and the avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE on steep slopes that face NW-N-E. Human triggered avalanches are likely in these areas. A MODERATE danger exists at low elevations. Due to low coverage, most south-facing terrain has LOW danger.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
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Weather and Snow
Yesterday's storm produced 6"-8" of fairly dense new snow. Moderate to strong SW winds blew most of the day. They backed off slightly overnight. Today look for developing snow showers as the next Pacific low tracks through the region. It doesn't appear to be a big hitter but we'll take what we can get - 2"-4" are likely today with another 2"-4" tonight. Yet another system is poised to move through on Monday. It's not looking as favorable as it once was but we should still some snow.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Snowpack Discussion
I found very sensitive conditions in my travels yesterday as new and wind drifted snow had formed a dense, cohesive slab on top of the weak, sugary, faceted snow underneath. Red flag signs of instability such as shooting cracks and collapsing were rampant. Things are deceiving out there, at first glance it doesn't appear that there is enough snow for avalanches. But on steep, northerly aspects where there is enough snow, conditions are ripe. Steep, north through east facing terrain should be avoided for the foreseeable future.
The video below illustrates the red flag signs of instability I observed.
Additional Information
Information on outdoor recreation - The State of Utah created this webpage with information about recreating on both state and federal public lands during the current health crisis.

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General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.