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Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Monday morning, May 1, 2023
We're through issuing avalanche forecasts for the season. Your primary concern in the spring is loose wet avalanches from daytime heating. Warm daytime temperatures, and consecutive nights without a freeze can increase the likelihood for more dangerous wet slab avalanches. Plan to get in and out early before slopes become wet and sloppy. Use the weather links below to aid in your trip planning.
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Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
We would like to give a huge shout out to all who supported operations this season. This includes everyone who regularly used the forecast to stay safe; our local business sponsors Moab Gear Trader, Talking Mountain Yurts; Mammut, Black Diamond Equipment, Voile, and Arva for setting us up with the gear we need to do our job; the Manti-La Sal National Forest for their tremendous support of this program; and last but not least, our great local community and crew of dedicated observers who provide vital information and assistance throughout the season. Thanks everyone, see you next winter!
Weather and Snow
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
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Spring Time Avalanche Concerns
Timing is everything this time of year. Get in early and out early, both for the best snow conditions and to avoid the threat of loose, wet avalanches. Work slopes according to their aspect in relation to the sun and get off of steep slopes as they become wet and sloppy. If you find yourself sinking into wet snow above your ankles, you're out too late.
Loose Wet Avalanches are the most common springtime avalanche hazard as a strong sun and warm temps melt and soften the snow surface. Signs of instability include rollerballs, pinwheels, and "point release" sluffs that fan out and gather more snow as they travel down the slope.
Wet Slabs release when melt water saturates a layer in the snowpack and the over riding slab fails as a cohesive layer. Wet slab avalanches are harder to predict than loose wet slides, and outward signs of this problem are not obvious, but sloppy, wet, or punchy snow indicate that the pack is trending towards unstable. Successive nights without a freeze and warm daytime temps contribute to instability. Avoid thin shallow rocky areas and terrain under cliffs, especially if the snow is becoming wet and sloppy.
Cornices are huge this year. Give them a wide berth. Daytime heating makes them particularly susceptible to breaking off this time of year.
New Snow can cause the avalanche danger to rise just like in the winter. Poorly bonded new snow can cause problems on all aspects when there is more than about 6" of new snow. Loose snow sluffs and soft slab avalanches are possible. This type of instability typically settles out in a day or two.
Wind Drifted Snow can create unstable drifts or slabs on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features. Recent wind drifts are recognizable by their smooth, rounded appearance and cracking is a sign of instability. Unstable wind drifts can linger for days or even up to a week.
Additional Information
That's all folks! Have a great summer and we'll see you back here next season!
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.