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Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Monday morning, October 24, 2022
We're not yet issuing regular forecasts but are monitoring conditions and will provide updates as needed. A significant storm system on Sunday, October 23, delivered 18" of snow to the mountains. This is enough snow to make human triggered avalanches possible, particularly in areas that have recent deposits of wind drifted snow. More details, and real time weather links can be found below.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
As we gear up for the winter season, here are a few things to consider doing:
  • Attend USAW and learn more about avalanches and decision making. (scroll down to the bottom of this page for more info and links)
  • Sign up for an avalanche class.
  • Take the all-new online avalanche courses the UAC built for Know Before You Go or take other online courses listed on the KBYG website (Develop skills -> Online Learning).
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and update the firmware if it is an electric version.
Weather and Snow
Well that came on quick! Storm totals from Sunday's wallop are now up to 18" at close to 2.5" of Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) at the Gold Basin Study Plot at 10,000'. This is the first significant snowfall of the season and it is safe to say that it is here to stay, particularly on northerly aspects where future weather will determine its fate. If snow keeps coming we will build a nice strong base. If the faucet turns off and high pressure returns, snow on shady aspects will metamorphose into loose, sugary, faceted crystals creating a basal weak layer that could plague us for much of the season.
It's still a little early, and a little thin for me to think about traveling around on skis or snowmobile, but if you find yourself out and about, avalanches are definitely possible. The main issue will be fresh deposits of wind-drifted snow that could produce slab avalanches. Look for areas of wind drifted snow on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features. They are often recognizable by their smooth, rounded appearance, and they may sound hollow underneath. Cracking in the snow surface is a sign of instability.
Get current and past 24-hour readings from these real-time weather links:
Snow and Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) at the Gold Basin SNOTEL site (10,000')
Snow and Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) near the Geyser Pass Winter Trailhead (9600')
Wind Speed and Direction on Pre-Laurel Peak (11,400')
The recent snow cover is also hiding rocks, stumps, logs, and other things that may cause serious injuries while traveling, or if you're caught in even a small avalanche. Keep your stoke in check and travel accordingly! We will update this forecast as conditions warrant.
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Additional Information
Sign up for the 15th Annual Utah Snow and Avalanche Workshop (USAW) on two nights, November 2nd and 9th. Sign up and get more info for the first session HERE and the second session HERE.
The Avalanche Professional and Ski Patrol Snow and Avalanche Workshop (PROSAW) will be during the day of November 7th. Sign up and get more info HERE. (note - PROSAW will be offered both in-person and virtual).
General Announcements
Please submit your observations from the backcountry HERE.

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.