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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Thursday morning, February 10, 2022
The avalanche danger is LOW on all aspects and elevations and generally safe avalanche conditions exist. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features, particularly in areas of rocky, more radical more extreme terrain.
It's also still very low tide out there. Beware of rocks, stumps, and deadfall lurking beneath the surface.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
We will be holding a Backcountry 101 course Feb 18, 19. It's a great introduction to understanding avalanche hazard and how to travel through the mountains safely. Go here for details and to register. And a huge thanks to our friends at Moab Gear Trader for their sponsorship of this course!
Weather and Snow
With high pressure continuing to dominate the region I'm discontinuing daily detailed weather forecasts. Conditions will remain dry and sunny through at least early next week. Long range models are hinting at a pattern change and some possible precipitation for our area starting around the 17th. Use the weather links below for current conditions.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
Snowpack
Over the past few weeks, the snow surface has been subject to the ravages of wind and sun and conditions are variable. Depths across the range average 2'-3' deep above about 9000' on northerly aspects while many south facing slopes are bare. Snow on northerly facing slopes has grown weak and sugary near the surface, and slopes that have held snow since October, also have a weak, sugary, faceted layer at the base of the snowpack. Human triggered avalanches are unlikely at this time, but this sugary, faceted snow is forming a weak base for future snow loads if and when they finally come. Matthew Cozart was up braving conditions on Saturday, read his report here.
The video below describes the weak, faceted snow we are finding near the surface in the La Sal Mountains.
General Announcements
Who's up for some free avalanche training? Get a refresher, become better prepared for an upcoming avalanche class, or just boost your skills. Go to https://learn.kbyg.org/ and scroll down to Step 2 for a series of interactive online avalanche courses produced by the UAC.
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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