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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Sunday morning, March 28, 2021
The avalanche danger is generally LOW today. People can travel around most places without being in danger of triggering an avalanche.
Two things to consider today:
  1. Watch the new snow if it becomes overly wet from daytime heating. Pinwheels, rollerballs and point release loose sluffs are indicators that it is time to avoid steep slopes that are wet.
  2. Weak snow near the ground still remains in some high elevation northerly facing terrain. Avoid the steepest, shallow, rocky northerly facing slopes and you'll stay safe.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: A bump in wind speed early Saturday created more drifts along the higher ridges than I expected. That said, none of the drifts that I provoked would crack out. Riding conditions remain good but you better get after it soon because warm weather is on the way. Temperatures on Saturday didn't get outrageously warm and you'll still find soft settled snow on upper elevation northerly aspects. Overnight temperatures were in the low to upper 20s. Wind is light from the west.
Mountain Weather: Warmer air moves in today with highs along the ridges pushing into the 40s. It looks like the wind will shift around to the southwest and increase a bit late in the day. We have a minor weather disturbance that will move through Monday bringing windy conditions and a brief cool down Tuesday. Otherwise, it looks like sun and warm weather for the extended period.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
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Location
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Description
You'll kind of have to look to find any avalanche trouble today. As I traveled around on Saturday I was not finding much that was concerning. I did not see anything that indicated the new snow is unstable. I noted some larger drifts than expected but these seem to be anchored in place. Here are a couple of things to keep in mind today.
  1. During the heat of the afternoon it is wise to not be in confined terrain like steep ravine bottoms. As the new snow gets heated, it may get to the point where we see some wet avalanche activity. I'm not expecting this to be a huge concern but it's worth a mention.
  2. There is still weak sugary faceted snow lurking at the bottom of the snowpack in northerly facing terrain above 10,000'. Very steep slopes in areas where the snowpack is shallow might be a place that a person could trigger a deep avalanche. I think you would have to really hunt around to find a location like this but again, it's worth a mention.
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