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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Saturday morning, March 7, 2020
The avalanche danger remains generally LOW across the Skyline. One thing to watch for today is wet avalanche activity. If you find yourself in an area where the snow is wet and unsupportable (you are sinking deep into the snowpack) definitely avoid any steep slopes. This is really the only situation where you could find trouble.
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Weather and Snow
Current Condition: Temperatures were warm on Friday with highs into the mid 40s along the higher terrain. They stayed fairly warm overnight with many stations at about freezing and southerly wind was fairly light. Skies were clear so the snow surface should be frozen and crusty anywhere it was wet yesterday. Dense dry powder remains on the high elevation due north facing steeper terrain. Otherwise, the sun and warm temperatures have heated the snow surface making it wet during the day.
Mountain Weather: We'll see a few clouds streaming through today especially later this afternoon. Southerly winds will increase in speed especially along the ridges. High temperatures will again reach into the low to mid 40s. A storm that once looked fairly decent for our region now looks like it'll only bring a minor amount of new snow on Sunday. A large "closed low pressure system" is moving in over the coast of southern California. This will drive our weather through mid week with another impulse along about Wednesday. However, the track of this system keeps moisture out of our area for the most part and, as of today, it doesn't look like we'll see much snow out of it.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
It is fairly unlikely that a person would trigger a wet snow avalanche today but it's something to be aware of. With warmer weather, this should be on your mind through the remainder of the snow season. On Friday I found a location on a west facing slope where my machine punched deep into the snowpack. The snow was wet and unsupportable. It was in a shallow location where the snowpack was only around 3 feet deep. I've found a number of other areas around especially on south and west facing slopes where the snowpack is shallow and weak. As these places get heated by the sun and warm temperatures, it's wise to avoid them. You do not want to be on steep slopes when they are wet and unsupportable. If you are punching through deep into wet snow, avoid steep slopes.
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This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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