Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Friday morning, March 22, 2019
The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE today and human triggered avalanches are likely. New and drifting snow have created unstable conditions, primarily on mid and upper elevation slopes that face W-N-E. The danger is MODERATE for avalanches involving the new snow on steep slopes on all other aspects and elevations. If the sun pokes out, the new snow will quickly saturate, and the danger for wet slide activity will develop on sun exposed slopes. Signs of instability include roller balls, pinwheels, and loose snow sluffs. And finally, there also remains a small chance for triggering a slide that breaks deep in the snowpack on a buried, persistent weak layer. You would most likely encounter this problem on very steep, northerly facing slopes.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Another good shot of snow for the Abajo Mountains! 12" -14" of snow at 1.5" of water weight fell across the range at the 9000' level, and I'd expect as much as 16" up high. SE winds blew in the 20-25 mph range with gusts into the 40's for a good part of the day yesterday, before gradually decreasing after noon. Winds are mostly light this morning but will shift to the SW and increase to 15-20 mph with gusts to 30 today. 9000' temps are in the low 20's, and we'll see a high near 30 degrees. Expect periods of patchy, blowing snow with 1"-3" possible today, and perhaps some partly sunny skies.
The snowpack in the Abajos is very deep. Snow depths near 10,000 feet range from 7 feet to 11 feet.

Snotel totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snotel totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
National Weather Service point forecast.
Additional Information
Carry appropriate rescue gear: beacon, probe, shovel, and choose where you ride based on the avalanche forecast for the day!
General Announcements
Your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche observations HERE. You can also call me at 801-647-8896, or send me an email: eric@utahavalanchecenter.org.
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.