Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Sunday morning, February 6, 2022
The avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline remains generally LOW.
The snowpack is mostly stable and people can travel around the majority of the terrain without much concern of triggering an avalanche.
Be aware that there is a minor chance that you could trigger a small wind slab on very steep terrain on the lee sides of ridges.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
The song remains the same. You'll find various wind and sun crusts on the surface in many areas. However, you'll also find soft "re-crystalized" powder in many sheltered locations. If you're able to sniff around and find these stashes where there are no old tracks, you'll be pleasantly surprised by the good riding. Overnight temperatures were in the low to mid teens. Northwest wind was a bit breezy along the higher terrain on Saturday. It wasn't getting down into the valleys and canyon bottoms much. It looks like it is on a slowing trend now.
Mountain Weather
Well, if it's not going to snow I guess the sunny weather is welcome. We'll have sunshine and ridgeline high temperatures into the mid to upper 20s with fairly light north wind. The wind direction may even drift a little northeast. It looks like we'll see similar weather for another week. Weather models are hinting at a pattern change starting around mid month.
Recent Avalanches
There were a few non-consequential wind slabs triggered on Saturday. They were generally small and shallow and were located right near the ridgelines on the lee sides. They didn't pose much threat to sleds but may have been big enough to knock a skier or snowboarder off their feet. The one my partner and I looked at in Ephraim Canyon had a characteristic that is worth noting. It broke on weak sugary "near surface facets" that formed in January. There is LOTS of surface facets scattered around the range and the concern is that we may see more widespread avalanching due to the facets once they are buried with new snow. Time will tell.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The snowpack is mostly stable right now. Anticipate minor wind slabs along the ridges that may crack out if provoked. The most dangerous situation would be if you triggered one of these that is above high consequence terrain such as a stand of trees or rocks/cliffs that you might get pushed into. On their own in open terrain, they don't pose all that much threat.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.