Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, February 3, 2022
The avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline remains generally LOW.
The snowpack is mostly stable and people can travel around the majority of the terrain without much concern of triggering an avalanche.
These are times when people can venture into more serious terrain due to lower risk of triggering an avalanche. However, remember that when you get into radically steep terrain, you also increase the risk a certain amount. There is always some risk when you are on extremely steep terrain.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
Another inch of snow trickled in during the day on Wednesday. The most favored locations received two inches total from the storm that started early Wednesday morning. Some areas received no measurable snow. It's fridged again this morning with most weather stations reading below 0˚F. Riding conditions are a mixed bag of wind crusts, sastrugi, and sun crusts. You can find some areas of dense soft snow in the most protected areas.
Mountain Weather
We'll have partly cloudy skies today with temperatures only warming into the low teens. Wind speeds look like they'll be moderate along the upper ridges from the northwest. Temperatures start to rebound through the weekend as high pressure once again gets a stranglehold on us. There is literally no hope for any storms any time soon. On Wednesday the GFS weather model was hinting at a decent storm at the end of the run. That is not there this morning.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Avalanche conditions are almost as quiet as they get. If you poke around enough on the steepest most exposed leeward slopes you might be able to find a wind drift that you could get to crack out. However, most that I've found are stubborn and welded into place. Loose surface snow is much less abundant since Monday's strong wind so surface sluffing is also less prevalent.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.