Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Saturday morning, February 1, 2020
The avalanche danger is generally LOW today. While it's unlikely that people will trigger avalanches today, places you might find trouble would be in the steepest most radical upper elevation north through east facing terrain. Only put one rider on a steep slope at a time and don't regroup below steep slopes.
Watch for minor heat related avalanche activity on sunny slopes especially on steep slopes in the mid and lower elevations.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: The snow surface consists of smooth dense powder and is good riding. The northwest wind slightly bumped up in speed mid day on Friday and drifted a small amount of snow in the higher terrain. Below is a 60 second week in review video.
Mountain Weather: Temperatures will get quite warm today and we'll see lots of sun. We should see high temperatures around 40˚F and light west wind. Sunday will be slightly cooler with some clouds starting to move in and increasing southwest wind. A snow storm will move through Sunday night into Monday bringing 5 to 10 inches of snow by Tuesday. Weather remains unsettled through mid week and another shot of snow should come Thursday.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
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Description
We have generally safe avalanche conditions on the Manti Skyline right now. Keep in mind that LOW danger does not mean NO danger. Mountain travel is inherently risky. Here are a few things to consider for today:
  • A person could probably find a fresh drift to crack out on them along the higher ridges. This won't be much of a problem unless you are in exposed terrain where if you get caught off guard, you could tumble over rocks or through trees.
  • We often accept more risk during periods of LOW avalanche danger and get into bigger and steeper terrain. When we do this, the risk of triggering an avalanche increases regardless of whether the overall danger is LOW. The steepest most radical terrain would be the only place that you'll likely find any trouble today.
  • With plenty of sun and warm temperatures, we may see some minor heat related avalanche activity on steep sunny slopes especially in the mid and lower elevations. If you are seeing "rollerballs" or "pinwheels", avoid being below those steep slopes.
Additional Information
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.