Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Tuesday morning, November 29, 2022
The avalanche danger is MODERATE today. Human triggered avalanches are possible.
The most likely place to trigger an avalanche is in upper elevation exposed terrain where the wind has drifted snow on slopes steeper than 30 degrees and more pronounced if the slope faces north, northeast, east and southeast.
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Moderate
Considerable
High
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: The Skyline picked up an average of 8 inches of new snow in the last 24 hours. The most favored locations received 10 to 12 inches. It was a moderately windy storm and the wind is still blowing from the northwest. Temperatures dropped into the low teens or single digits. Skies are clearing.
Mountain Weather: The northwest wind will continue to blow this morning and slow this afternoon. Temperatures are going to remain cold with highs in the low teens. The sky should continue to clear during the day. The next storm is shaping up for Friday which might be good for another 6 inches of new snow. It looks like the weather pattern remains fairly active with hints of another storm next week.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Wind Drifted Snow is your biggest concern today. Areas where the wind has created a dense layer of snow are the most likely places to trigger an avalanche. This problem is most pronounced in the upper elevations on the east half of the compass where the wind has drifted the most snow. However, watch for drifts around terrain features like gullies and ridges that face any direction.
These drifts are sitting on top of some loose sugary snow that formed over the last two weeks. The weak layer of sugary snow underneath the new snow is cause for concern. It is unclear how reactive this weak layer will be to the new snow. We will know more after fieldwork today.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.