Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Monday morning, January 31, 2022
The avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline remains generally LOW.
Sluffing of the surface snow should be anticipated on any steep slope that has soft snow on the surface. The sluffs are starting to get a bit larger and are entraining more snow as they descend.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
The snow surface has become so loose that it is actually starting to be somewhat remarkable. "Near Surface Faceting" has turned the top 4 to 8 inches of snow into fine grained sugary crystals on slopes where sun crusts and wind crusts don't exist. West wind has picked up in speed and mixed out the air temperatures this morning. Most mountain stations are in the mid 20s.
Mountain Weather
We'll see a few clouds today with high temperatures in the upper 20s. West wind is going to be a bit gusty along the higher terrain. We'll see more clouds Tuesday and Wednesday with colder air moving in and minor snowfall on Wednesday that doesn't look like it'll add up to anything. I hate to say it but the long range outlook doesn't look good and I don't really see any significant storms in sight over the next two weeks.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Overall, the snowpack remains mostly stable right now. The snow surface will sluff on very steep slopes if disturbed by a person. The sluffs can get large enough to knock someone over. If you are getting onto steep slopes just be aware that the surface will sluff and you'll want to avoid getting out in head of that sluff as it could catch up with you. Pull off to one side and let it go by. This is what is known as "sluff management".
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.