Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Sunday morning, January 29, 2023
There is a MODERATE avalanche danger rating for upper elevation terrain where recent deposits of wind drifted snow are present.
Steep slopes just below ridges and peaks on the east half of the compass are the most likely places that a person could trigger a small avalanche.
If you avoid the steep and windy higher terrain, the avalanche danger is generally LOW.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: We squeaked out a couple of inches from the weather disturbance that moved through on Saturday. Wind has shifted and is from the south. It's been moderate in speed along the higher terrain. Temperatures have been in the mid to upper teens. Riding conditions still remain excellent.
Mountain Weather: Today's temperatures probably won't get out of the teens. We'll have cloudy skies with snowfall moving in later this afternoon. This storm looks kind of funky to me and I'm not quite sure what to make of it. It's dropping from the north but the majority of the snowfall will occur with southwest wind. Regardless, I don't think it's going to be a huge snow producer for us. I'm thinking 3 to 6 inches of new snow by sometime Monday.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
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Description
Wind drifted snow is really your only concern out there right now. I don't really have enough data to accurately say how much of a threat fresh drifts are posing. Poor visibility has kept me out of the higher terrain where these drifts are located and I haven't been able to test them to see how sensitive they are. My hunch is that things are not all that dangerous but you should be aware that you may trigger fresh drifts or wind slabs on steep upper elevation terrain.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.