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here.
Skies are partly cloudy.
Mountain temperatures are in the upper 20s. Winds are from the southwest, blowing 10-15mph. 11k winds are 15-20mph with gusts to 30.
We do have a storm on the horizon, although so many of them this winter have looked promising from afar, only to fade into nothingness upon approach. Like a mirage.
We'll see.
Winds will increase from the southwest tomorrow and snowfall should begin in the midday hours. Snowfall should be heavy at times, lasting through the night, and continuing off and on through Saturday. Most of the snowfall will be ushered in on this southwest flow regime and densities will be a bit higher - perhaps in the 7-8% zone. Storms from the southwest preferentially favor many areas of the Provo mountains, particularly Sundance. There is still some spread in the forecast snowfall amounts, so I'll hedge and offer up 10-16" by late Saturday.
The Outlook:
Some clearing for Sunday followed by another storm that dives south for early week. Some possibilities of another storm mid/late week.
The Timp Divide snotel site shows that winter conditins are less than half of average. See below. What we know is that a thin snowpack is a weak snowpack. This snowpack will easily avalanche with any significant storms. Stay tuned.
