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Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Nikki Champion
Issued by Nikki Champion on
Tuesday morning, January 18, 2022
The avalanche danger is LOW on all aspects at all elevations. Natural and human-triggered avalanches are unlikely, but not impossible, and could occur in isolated terrain.
Continue to use safe travel protocol practices when in avalanche terrain - keep a close eye on your partners and expose only one person at a time on a slope.
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Weather and Snow
This morning, there are a few clouds in the sky and temperatures are in the mid-20s F to low 30s F. Winds are from the west-southwest and light - gusting in the low teens along mid-elevation ridges with gusts in the 30's mph along the highest peaks.
Today will remain mostly cloudy, temperatures will rise into the upper 30's F and the westerly winds will remain light, gusting in the teens at mid-elevations and 20's mph at the highest peaks.
Soft snow and good riding can still be found on shady, wind-sheltered aspects above 8,000'. The snow surface is weakening on these slopes where it has become faceted with some surface hoar.
The next chance for appreciable snowfall looks to come Friday as a system drops south through the area. Given the current trajectory only modest snowfall amounts are expected with this system.
Recent Avalanches
No backcountry avalanches were reported yesterday. On Sunday, Drew Hardesty and I visited the following zones in the Provo mountains:
Drew and I both found evidence of avalanche activity from early January and I chat abit about the current snowpack:
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Normal caution is used when the avalanche danger is LOW and there is no predominant type of avalanche problem. Although avalanches are unlikely, they are not impossible and they could occur in isolated terrains, such as;
  • loose, wet avalanches in steep couloirs and gullies on southerly aspects;
  • small isolated areas of wind drifted snow in upper elevation terrain features that allow for drifting, such as gullies, sub ridges and directly below ridgelines;
  • a larger avalanche breaking down into faceted snow in steep, thin rocky terrain on aspects facing northwest through east at the mid and upper elevations.
Additional Information
What happened to the Persistent Weak Layer problem? The PWL problem first appeared in the December 12 forecast, and since that time numerous large natural and human-triggered avalanches have occurred, failing on the layer of faceted snow down near the ground on mid and upper elevation aspects facing west, north, and east. This PWL formed from snowfall in October and early November that weakened during the prolonged dry spell through November and early December. Heavy snowfall in December and early January snowfall placed a 3-5' deep slab of strong/dense snow on top of this layer (as shown in this photo by Meredith Johnson) and it is now unlikely a skier or rider could affect this deeply-buried layer. Although we may not have any remaining issues with this PWL this season, for now we are saying the PWL problem has become dormant as it may again become reactive with future storms.
General Announcements
Who's up for some free avalanche training? Get a refresher, become better prepared for an upcoming avalanche class, or just boost your skills. Go to https://learn.kbyg.org/ and scroll down to Step 2 for a series of interactive online avalanche courses produced by the UAC.
CLICK HERE FOR MORE GENERAL INFO AND FAQ
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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