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Freezing temperatures last night and in the last few nights put a hold on the meltdown and formed a pretty solid and thick melt-freeze crust on top of the saturated snow. In this refrozen state, wet snow is stable and avalanches are generally unlikely. High angled April sun and seasonal daytime warmth will soften up the snow surface by midday. If you start sinking into wet snow or observe signs of wet snow instability, it's time to reevaluate your route so that you avoid steep terrain.
The 8400' Tony Grove Snotel reports 29°F, and there is 57 inches of total snow at the site, containing 72% of normal SWE. North-northwest winds are blowing around 15 mph at the 9700' CSI Logan Peak weather station, where overnight temperatures were several degrees below freezing, and it's 24°F this morning.
- Expect sunny skies today, with high temperatures at 8500' around 43°F and 10 to 15 mph northwest winds, veering from the southwest in the afternoon.
- It will be partly cloudy tonight ,with low temperatures around 24°F and 10 to 15 mph winds blowing from the southwest.
- Tomorrow, we'll see increasing clouds and southwest winds in the morning and a good chance of snow showers in the afternoon, with 1 to 3 inches of accumulation possible on upper elevation slopes. Expect high temperatures around 43°F, with 20 to 25 mph west-southwest winds increasing to 31 to 36 mph in the afternoon.
- Snow showers are likely to continue tomorrow night, with 2 to 4 inches of additional accumulation possible and a low temperature around 20°F. It will be windy, with 35 mph west-southwest winds and much higher gusts.
- Fair and mostly sunny weather is likely beginning Wednesday and lasting through the end of the work week.
Conditions are quite a bit different this weekend than last, with much colder temperatures and much more stable snow in the backcountry. Last weekend's exceptionally warm weather caused a fairly widespread natural wet avalanche cycle in the Logan Zone, with several large wet slab and numerous wet loose avalanches observed.
A large natural wet loose avalanche from last weekend in Three Terraces, upper Providence Canyon, looks like it was triggered by a cornice fall overrunning the slope.
Check out all the recent backcountry observations and many recent avalanche reports from across Utah
HERE.
