Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Saturday morning, March 2, 2019
Look for a rising avalanche danger over the next 24 hours! The avalanche danger is MODERATE this morning but will likely rise to CONSIDERABLE as new snow begins to accumulate. Look for fresh wind drifts to form on the leeward sides of upper elevation ridge crests and terrain features, primarily on slopes facing NW-N-SE. If we see more than about 6" of snow today, human triggered avalanches within the new snow will be possible on all aspects. Cracking in the snow surface is a sign of instability. There also remains an isolated, or MODERATE danger for human triggered avalanches involving a buried, persistent weak layer. You are most likely to encounter this problem on steep, rocky, northerly facing slopes, or in areas with a shallower snowpack. Backcountry travelers today need to be alert to changing conditions and adjust their plans accordingly.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
We're offering a Motorized Backcountry 101 course through Backcountry Institute on March 22, 23 to be held in Monticello, and Dark Canyon in the La Sal Mountains. Click here for more information and to register.
Weather and Snow
Skies are cloudy, WSW winds are averaging 15-20 mph along ridge tops with gusts to 30, and temps are in the low to mid 20's. Sound like the same old spiel? Never fear, winter will return to the mountains today as a moist storm system moves through the region. Snowfall should begin mid morning with the greatest intensity occurring this afternoon and evening. Snowfall rates of 1"-2" an hour are likely, and it looks like we could see a foot or more of snow by tomorrow. WSW winds will continue to blow in the moderate range, and daytime highs will be around 30 degrees.
A variety of snow surfaces exist out there right now, but conditions will improve as the day progresses.
Snotel totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snotel totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
National Weather Service point forecast.
Additional Information
Carry appropriate rescue gear: beacon, probe, shovel, and choose where you ride based on the avalanche forecast for the day!
General Announcements
Your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche observations HERE. You can also call me at 801-647-8896, or send me an email: eric@utahavalanchecenter.org.
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This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.