Ad
The National Forest Service Logo
icon-add Observation
Forecasts
Logan Ogden Salt Lake Provo Uintas Skyline Moab Abajos Weather Archives How to read the forecast
Observations & Avalanches
Submit Observation Observations Explorer All Observations Avalanches Fatalities Weather Place Names Map Archives
Education
Avalanche Class List UAC Class List Online Classes Resources and Tutorials Avalanche Awareness Develop Skills
Events
Store
About
Contact Who we are Core Values Staff Board of Directors Past Forecasters Sponsors Annual Reports Sign In
Blog
icon-add Observation
Donate / Join

Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Monday morning, February 21, 2022
Snow and changing avalanche conditions on the horizon!
An isolated, or MODERATE danger exists for triggering a small avalanche involving last week's storm snow, and the loose, weak, sugary faceted snow that lies underneath. Taking the form of shallow soft slabs, or loose snow sluffs, these should be generally small and inconsequential at this time. With more snow and wind in the forecast anticipate a rise in danger over the next several days.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow
Southerly winds were on the increase yesterday and by evening clouds had begun to move in ahead of a multi-day storm cycle set to impact the region. Today will be warm, cloudy, and windy as the first wave approaches. The primary impacts will affect areas to the north and then east of us but we should see a few inches of snow tonight and into early Tuesday. 2"-4" are possible. The next trough arrives late Tuesday and extends through Wednesday and we should see another 3"-5".
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
During this long period of high pressure, the snowpack has become loose, weak, and faceted. In some areas, this weak snow has formed near the surface, while in others it makes up the entire snowpack. With the addition of recent and wind drifted snow, these weak facets are now buried and are acting as persistent weak layer. For now, the likelihood and consequences of triggering an avalanche on his weak layer are small, but with more snow and wind in the forecast, expect the danger to increase on steep, northerly facing slopes over the next several days.
General Announcements
Who's up for some free avalanche training? Get a refresher, become better prepared for an upcoming avalanche class, or just boost your skills. Go to https://learn.kbyg.org/ and scroll down to Step 2 for a series of interactive online avalanche courses produced by the UAC.
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
< Previous forecast
Next forecast >