Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Tuesday morning, December 13, 2022
Special Announcements
We will not be issuing daily forecasts with danger ratings this season. We simply do not have enough information for this level of detail. We will be keeping an eye on the snowpack and will post a detatiled summary of conditions on Saturday mornings. Mid-week updates will be provided as weather conditions dictate.
Weather and Snow
Monday's storm brought 6" of new snow to the mountains at lower elevations with up to 10" likely up high. Conditions will remain dry and cold through the weekend.
NWS Forecast for the Abajo Mountains
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')

Snowpack Summary and General Conditions
Recent and wind drifted snow has elevated the avalanche danger by placing addtional stress on a buried foundation of weak, sugary, faceted snow. Avoid steep slopes that show signs of recent wind drifting. Wind drifts are recognizable by ther smooth, rounded appearance, and cracking is a sign of instability. Wind drifts form on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features such as gully walls and subridges. Another red flag sign of instability is collapsing, or whumphing. This indicates that the underlying poor snowpack structure is incapable of supporting the weight of the overlying snow. If you observe this, you know you have an unstable situation and steep terrain should be avoided.
In most cases, snowcover is still a little too thin to access avalanche terrain, but all steep, wind drifted slopes that have enough snow to ride are suspect, and human triggered avalanches are possible in these areas.
For more on the current state of the snowpack, see the video below.
Additional Information
If you are getting out in the backcountry, we'd love to hear what you're seeing. Please submit observations here. You can also send an email to eric@utahavalanchecenter.org or give me a call with anything noteworthy, especially avalanches! 801-647-8896
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.