Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Wednesday morning, January 8, 2020
No change in avalanche conditions and the danger remains MODERATE. Human triggered avalanches remain possible on steep, wind drifted slopes primarily at upper elevations. A triggered wind slab also has the potential to step down into a buried, persistent weak layer causing a deeper and more dangerous avalanche. You are most likely to encounter a persistent weak layer on steep, shady, northerly facing slopes. Most low elevation and south-facing terrain have LOW danger.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
Grooming: The Hart's Draw road has been recently groomed to 70's Flat.
Weather and Snow
Winds took a break yesterday before ramping up again last night. Today look for high clouds to move in as an open trough swings across the western states. Shallow moisture and dry air will prevent this from being much of an event, and confidence that it will move out the valley fog is low. A stronger system on Thursday has a better chance for cleaning out the air but most of the moisture will be to the north and we'll be lucky to see any measurable precipitation in the mountains. An active pattern follows through next week but it looks like we are not in a favorable position for the storm track. Let's hope that changes.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
Recent Avalanches
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.