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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Friday morning, January 10, 2020
Though the odds of triggering an avalanche are decreasing, the danger remains MODERATE. Human triggered avalanches involving wind drifted snow are possible on steep slopes right around treeline and above that face N-NE-E. Old, hard wind slabs are most likely to be found downslope from ridge crests, and special attention should be paid to those slopes that have steep convexities or blind break overs. In some areas, a triggered wind slab may step down into a buried weak layer causing a deeper and more dangerous avalanche. Most low elevation and south-facing terrain have LOW danger.
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Special Announcements
Grooming: The Hart's Draw road has been recently groomed to 70's Flat.
Weather and Snow
The bad news is that we didn't get any snow from yesterday's system. The good news is that the low-level Stratus deck has cleared out and valley dwellers can once again see the sun! And, after a relentless, blustery week, winds have also taken a break. Count our blessings. Today look for mostly sunny skies with high temps in the mid-teens. Winds will again be on the increase by this afternoon blowing from hte NE at 15-20 mph along ridge tops with gusts as high as 30. An active pattern begins late Saturday and extending through mid-week. As discussed before, this pattern will mainly favor points north, but by Tues-Wed, things may slide south a bit.
Snow totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
Recent Avalanches
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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