Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Skyline Area Mountains Issued by Brett Kobernik for Sunday - February 5, 2017 - 6:58am
bottom line

The avalanche danger remains generally LOW in the majority of the terrain. Be mindful about areas where the wind has been creating fresh drifts. There is a slight chance that a person could trigger a small wind drift on very steep east facing upper elevation slopes.
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current conditions

The dusting of new snow from Friday night improved riding conditions a bit and didn't change avalanche conditions much. I was measuring 2 inches of new snow in the Miller Flat/Electric Lake area. It felt a bit deeper in locations where the wind has drifted it onto the lee sides of terrain features. West wind was moderate in speed along the ridges and not getting down into the valleys much. The wind has slowed a bit more overnight and mountain temperatures are in the mid to upper 20s.
Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

There are no significant weak layers within the snowpack along the Manti Skyline. Our concerns revolve around new snow and how well it bonds to the old snow surface. This last little bit of new snow bonded well even in areas where it has been drifted into deeper slabs. There is a small chance that you could trigger one of these slabs on the higher elevation steepest slopes that face more easterly. These wind drifts are 6 to 12" deep and probably won't bury you but might be enough to push a person on skis, snowboards or snowshoes.
weather

Enjoy the day today because weather is going to get a bit nasty for the first half of the week. We'll see partly cloudy skies today with light to moderate wind and high temperatures in the low to mid 30s. A minor weather disturbance moves through tonight then a more active wet and windy period of storms sets up. We'll see most of the snowfall Monday night through early Wednesday. Another system will bring additional snow Friday into Saturday. Weather models are advertising 1 to 2 inches of water through Wednesday which tells me we should see a foot of snow or perhaps more by that time.
general announcements

We will publish full detailed advisories Saturday and Sunday mornings by 7am. We will also be publishing basic avalanche danger ratings & info during the week.

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