Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Skyline Area Mountains Issued by Brett Kobernik for Sunday - February 7, 2016 - 6:27am
bottom line

The overall avalanche danger is MODERATE. I would still use caution if you're thinking about getting into the big bowls. Human triggered avalanches are possible today.
current conditions

Saturday was a real nice day in the mountains with mostly clear skies and mild ridgetop temperatures with light west northwest wind. Temperatures dipped into the low 20s overnight and the wind speeds bumped ever so slightly. You'll find great riding conditions on the shady slopes with sun crusts on the sunnier slopes.
recent activity

No avalanche activity was reported from Saturday. This doesn't mean that none occurred, just we didn't hear of any.
Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Even though things are stabilizing, I still know a number of slopes that I wouldn't get onto right now. There's still a chance you could trigger an avalanche that breaks into deep weak layers. Here's all the factors you'll need to find an avalanche today:

  • Slope steepness over 35 degrees
  • Slope facing northwest, north or east, most likely on northeast to east
  • Slope that has previously avalanched earlier this year
Avalanche Problem 2
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 12 hours
description

With a warming trend through the week we'll want to pay attention to wet avalanche activity. I don't think it will play a huge roll today but remember with warming, the snow becomes unstable when it gets real damp during the day and then freezes and becomes stable overnight.

weather

It looks like another nice day today with temperatures again into the low to mid 30s and west northwest winds slightly higher in speed than Saturday. Very mild weather will continue into mid week with warmer temperatures each day and fairly light wind. No significant storms are on the horizon at this point.
general announcements

We will publish full detailed advisories Saturday and Sunday mornings by 7am.  We will also be publishing basic avalanche danger ratings & info during the week.

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